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Keywords

Frontier Markets; Portfolio flows; Financial Integration; Balance of Payments Needs

Abstract

This paper investigates to what extent low-income developing countries (LIDCs) characterized as frontier markets (FMs) have begun to be subject to capital flows dynamics typically associated with emerging markets (EMs). Using a sample of developing countries covering the period 2000–14, we show that: (i) average annual portfolio flows to FMs as a share of gross domestic product (GDP) outstripped those to EMs by about 0.6 percentage points of GDP; (ii) during years of heightened stress in global financial markets, portfolio flows to FMs dried up like those to EMs; and that (iii) FMs have become more integrated into international financial markets. Our findings confirm that, in terms of portfolio flows, FMs have become more similar to EMs than to the rest of LIDCs and are therefore more vulnerable to swings in global financial markets conditions. Accordingly, it is important to have in place frameworks to strengthen FMs’ resilience to adverse capital flows shocks.

First Page

19

Last Page

45

Page Count

27

Received Date

20 February 2018

Revised Date

3 January 2019

Accept Date

4 January 2019

Online Available Date

5 February 2019

DOI

10.7172/2353-6845.jbfe.2019.1.2

JEL Code

E44; F3; G0; O57

Publisher

University of Warsaw

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